In a comprehensive report released
recently by Renaissance Capital, a leading investment advisory firm in Nigeria has
indicated that Guaranty Trust Bank plc (GTBank) was adjudged the bank that has created
the highest value for investors in 2012 out of the three Tier 1 banks
considered. The other banks evaluated in the analysis include First bank of
Nigeria and Zenith Bank.
After a review of the 2012 financial
results of these tier 1 banks, the analysts commented that GTBank outperformed
its peers delivering Return on Equity (RoE) of 34 per cent against Zenith
Bank’s 24 per cent and First Bank’s 18
per cent.
GTBank’s superior returns were said to
have been driven by better gross yield, a lower-than-peers impairment charge
and a lower cost base. An Economic Value Added (EVA) analysis of the 2012
results of the banks to estimate the absolute naira value creation by each bank
revealed that GTBank had the highest excess return at 16 per cent with Zenith
Bank and First Bank’s excess return put at six per cent and 0.3per cent
respectively.
The report further delved into the
value created by the three banks since 2004, noting that GTBank only had a
negative value creation in full year report of 2009 when its RoE fell to 13per
cent but its peers fared worse in that year. The investment firm maintained
that for four of the nine years under consideration, Zenith Bank and First Bank
delivered negative value creation while only GTBank has created a positive
value over the last nine years.
The report concluded by recommending
a BUY rating for GTBank based on the tangible value created over a period of
time. The analysts believed that GTBank is still the best entry point into the
Nigerian market for long term investors seeking the best-in-class in terms of
delivery which further justifies its premium rating.
The forecast for First Bank full year
report of 2013 Profit After Tax (PAT) was lowered to N92billon from N97 billion
based on the bank’s lower Net Interest Margins; GTBank’s PAT expectation was
raised marginally from N96 billion to N97 billion while Zenith Bank’s PAT
forecast was lowered from N100 billion to N97 billion based on higher cost
growth.
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